Monday, January 23, 2017

2016 Oscar Predictions

Nominations are tomorrow morning.  Is it really that time of year already?  Time for me to botch the HELL out of these predictions I worked so hard to get right.

Friday, January 13, 2017

A Season Full of Awards: DGA

I don't know what's happened to me.  I'm completely falling down on the job.  I promised to keep up with the awards this year as a way to boost my personal blogging and I missed the Globe winners AND the BAFTA noms (yes, I saw them or read about them or whatever, but I didn't blog about them) and despite telling myself for like a week that I was going to, I'm not.  I feel like I'm still trying to find my place within the community that I love and part of me feels so out of it.  I HATE that I am not blogging as much as I used to or that I'm not stopping by to comment on your blogs like I used to...I just can't seem to get it together.

Anyways, this was not supposed to be some sob-blog post, but rather a measly attempt to weigh in on the Oscar race.

DGA...the Directors Guild of America.  They don't always get it right, but a lot of times they point us in the right direction.

Who did they nominate?

Damien Chazelle / La La Land
Garth Davis / Lion
Barry Jenkins / Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan / Manchester By the Sea
Denis Villeneuve / Arrival

For those following the Oscar race, ATM, the directing category is really up in the air after the solidified winner, Damien Chazelle.  After that, it's anybody's guess.  I know that this seems like a vapid statement when you look at the fact that Barry Jenkins has won more critics prizes than anyone else, but let's be real here...Moonlight, as good as it may be, is not an AMPAS film, and because of that he is not infallible.  He's most likely getting the nom, but being a black director making a film about the 'gay' black community is not a sure-fire Oscar nom.

He also missed BAFTA.

Lonergan is also very much in this, but not assured considering that he has the least 'directorly' film in contention.  Still, the fact that Manchester By the Sea and Moonlight feel like the closest bet to Oscar BP locks next to the actual Oscar winner (yes, I said it...and I called it in like April) La La Land kind of makes them very likely Oscar nominees.

That leaves us with a slew of names that I can't wrap my brain around.

Mackenzie has been gaining rapid traction for his western, Hell or High Water, which looks like a Top 5 BP contender at this point.  He's been nominated by a slew of critics, including BFCA.  Garth Davis seemed almost dead, but Weinstein must be working his magic because after missing everywhere...he managed the DGA nom.  Villeneuve has been mentioned all year long, and he snagged BAFTA and DGA...but I'm so skeptical because as much as I love Arrival, it is sci-fi and that is never a safe Oscar bet...except for when it is.

And then there is Gibson, who's ultra-violent film has been doing really well with critics for some reason.

But my biggest director question mark is Martin Scorsese.  His film, Silence, hasn't landed ANYWHERE this season (very slight hyperbole there) and it has me wondering if it's dead entirely...except that I'm pretty sure it isn't.  I have a feeling this will be one of those instances where AMPAS showers it with nominations we should have all seen coming, including director.  It also doesn't hurt that every other possibly nominee, outside of Gibson, would be a first time nominee.  Oscar likes to nominate a veteran somewhere.

So...where does that leave us?

Lonergan and Jenkins...very likely.
Davis, Mackenzie and Villeneuve...most likely battling it out for that 'welcome to the club' nom (even though Chazelle, Jenkins and Lonergan would also be first time nominees).
Scorsese...wild card nom statistics defy.

My money, atm, is on a lineup of Chazelle, Davis, Jenkins, Lonergan, Scorsese...but I have many doubts.

Sunday, January 1, 2017

2016 Mouthi Awards Ceremony

The ceremony for the 2016 Mouthi Awards took place in an undisclosed hospital in Malibu, CA on December 31st at 8:00 PM, Eastern Standard Time.

It was hosted by Bruce Caitlyn Jenner.

Here are the highlights: