This has no chance in hell at actually winning Best Picture at the Oscars...but this upset over Manchester By the Sea (which seemed like the stronger film) could solidify it's place on nomination morning. This could wind up being a stronger film than I initially anticipated.
O.J. Made in America
I think a concensus is starting to form over the documentaries we'll be seeing pop up on nomination morning. This feels like one of them.
Casey Affleck for Manchester By the Sea
Stars are aligning for Casey to snatch up that Oscar, and I'm so happy for him since he's one of those actors who is consistently good, and he should already have an Oscar in his hands for his tremendous performance in The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford. Washington could still make a play, but right now it's looking like Casey will actually take this, especially in the light of Viola stealing Williams' Oscar.
Isabelle Huppert for Elle
So, this happened. Huppert, I think, is stronger than we all thought she was. I never saw Portman as undeniable, and I still think that Oscar is Stone's, but this makes things so much more interesting. Watching this go down like 2012, with Stone and Huppert being the Lawrence/Riva pairing. AMAZING!
Over Manchester By the Sea seems strange and yet, this movie is truly beloved. Could this repeat with Oscar? I'm not so sure, since Lonergan seems like someone AMPAS will want to reward this year, but you never know. It's beginning to look like a real race.
Trey Edward Schultz for Krisha
In terms of Oscar, this means nothing.
Anya Taylor-Joy for The Witch
This also means nothing, considering who it is. She has no Oscar traction and won't get any. Poor Lucas Hedges...I thought this could have been the start of his onslaught of Breakthrough Awards this season.