Monday, November 17, 2014

Carell stakes a claim in the Best Actor race...



Back at the beginning of the year, I was really confident that Steve Carell was going to be an Oscar nominee for Foxcatcher.  In fact, for quite a few months I was predicting that he'd win the actual Oscar.  In recent months though, this category has started to fill out and raves have been dolled out and frontrunners have become clear and the fact that his performance and film, while well received, are notably cold and off-putting have caused me to doubt his place in this race.  In fact, I have him outside my Top Five for the first time all year.  

Well, this year he's receiving the Santa Barbara 'Outstanding Performer of the Year' Award, and so he's suddenly shooting back on my radar.

I'm not sure that this will mean much (although previous winners include Oscar winners Firth, Lawrence, Cruz, Mirren, Ledger and Winslet), but it's something, and with a field filled to the brim with young-bloods in baity biopics, maybe goodwill for a veteran (of sorts) actor with his first brush with Oscar could mean something.

14 comments:

  1. Now you know more about Oscar history than me - isn't it common that Best Actor and Supporting actor nominees even winners often come from one movie?:D No, no I'm sure JK Simmons will win but Ruffalo seems like a sure bet and I think Carrel is definitely getting nominated, it's just too juicy - well liked, comedy actor doing a dramatic role, looking horrible, playing a psycho in a based on real events movie. The only enigma is Tatum, what the hell they will do with him, I do not know.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This does happen a lot (not the winning, but the nominees), but it mostly depends on the categories themselves. Mark is in a very different category. There isn't a lot of competition. Carell is screwed, almost, because he's in a category that is VERY strong right now. Keaton, Redmayne and Cumberbatch are locked and all are in it to win it at this point. Oyelowo is also very likely given the fact that he's playing MLK and his reviews were VERY strong out the gate. So that leaves one spot open for Carell or Cooper or O'Connell, and the fact that Carell is playing a VERY unlikable character could play against him in this instance.

      Now, Mark is pretty much secure...UNLESS they decide to campaign Tatum supporting. If that happens, Tatum gets in over Mark in a walk, since his individual reviews were much better, and he makes a play at the actual Oscar win.

      Delete
    2. You know once again you and me must be reading very different reviews, because 90% of what I read clearly champions Ruffs over Tatum.

      I still think Unbroken is not happening....

      Delete
    3. Don't get me wrong, Ruffalo has great reviews, but they aren't close to touching what has been written down to Tatum. His reviews right out of Cannes were remarkable, to the point where he was a serious option for the Best Actor prize. He's been toted as the MVP of the film by many. Ruffalo is said to have the most sympathetic character, and so he's been called the heart of the film, but Tatum's transformation has gotten the most raves.

      And I already have a bet going with Steven regarding Unbroken...

      Delete
    4. "Don't get me wrong, Ruffalo has great reviews, but they aren't close to touching what has been written down to Tatum"

      - I was going to leave this alone because this is really a pointless thing to discuss about but what you wrote above is just a flat out lie. I may not read many reviews but the reviews for Gone Girl and Foxcatcher? Those, those I know.

      I've just taken a quick glance at 28 top critics reviews and some rotten ones and you are way off. In fact I'd say Tatum is third in raves, they alternate between the other two. Tatum gets called a revelation in few but he gets negative ones too, when at least 3 reviews and even the negative for the film - single Ruffalo as the one who 'glues the film together'. Tatum gets called MVP but the other two do too. It's not like he is far and above them in such a great way that one can actually say 'he has gotten the most raves'. No, no he didn't unless you are telling me you read every review out there.

      I get rooting for actors, I do that do, but presenting your impression as a fact and not just an opinion you have because you read specific reviews....you just assuming you know more and read more is just arrogant.

      Delete
    5. Gurl...I'm not trying to be arrogant at all. I haven't read every review...no. Most of the reviews I read were out after Cannes, and a lot is based off the reactions from those who saw it there. Out of the box, after it premiered at Cannes, Tatum was the one most talked about and raved. Things may have changed, and apparently you have read more than I to know that they have changed. Sorry if I rubbed you the wrong way. It wasn't intentional, at all.

      Delete
    6. Well yeah but Cannes was several months ago. 90 reviews in, all the tweets later things look a bit different.

      Thing is I actually know stuff about 2 movies this year - 2 alone, that's it - because I was waiting for them. So if you tell me something about Birdman, Unbroken or any other movie out there I'd buy everything, I know next to nothing. For example all I know about Whiplash is that it has drums and JK Simmons. I haven't even seen trailers for most of 'in the race' movies.

      But with GG and FC I actually have some intel because I've read practically every review of those and in this case was quite the opposite of yours.

      Delete
    7. Yeah, I honestly don't read many reviews because I don't have time. Three kids and work 40 hours a week leaves me pretty tight with time, but I gander and I try and read most of the blurbs and I do spend time on the different forums with others who have read the reviews and are talking about it.

      How about we say this...if Tatum goes Supporting, in this field (which is really light ATM) he'd be a lock for the nom alongside Ruffalo, because his reviews would certainly validate that.

      Delete
  2. He will get nominated-comic actor in dramatic role where you can't recognize him...yup he'll be nominated

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I've been inclined to agree with you all year, but these things aren't always iron clad. I mean, just ask Jim Carrey.

      Delete
  3. I'd be VERY disappointed if Carrell didn't get a nod, he's absolutely astounding here and it's one of those transformative role both physically and emotionally. I'm not in love w/ the film but he's fantastic in the role of DuPont.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm starting to feel like he's getting this nom, but if Unbroken becomes a true force of nature with AMPAS, he'd probably be the one to lose out to O'Connell.

      Delete
  4. I think Carell could be the contender that falls just short (this year's Robert Redford/Tom Hanks - if veterans can miss, he certainly could). With David Oyelowo now in the mix, I wonder where that puts Carell. I think Keaton, Cumberbatch, Redmayne, and maybe Oyelowo are ahead of Carell at the moment, though Carell could be in the top 4. I wonder how O'Connell, Affleck, and Spall, among others, will factor into the race.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I currently think he'll miss. He'll get the SAG nom, and probably the BFCA, but I think that O'Connell will snag that fifth spot. The other four, at this point, look locked up.

      Delete