Thursday, May 1, 2014

May Oscar Predictions


It may seem ridiculous to update these predictions every month, but it's also a lot of fun for me so deal with it!  Not a whole lot has changed yet (although the festivals are in full swing and early ink is trickling in, so some things are getting shifted) and yet enough is changing to make subtle differences.  My pony is still the same.  I'm riding this Unbroken stallion right on through to Oscar night, unless you know, if breaks its leg in those reviews and winds up getting shot prematurely.  

Some new editions to these predictions include films like The Imitation Game, A Most Dangerous Year and The Homesman, and a few others are getting scattered into the second tier.  Some category confusion has placed some actors (Chastain and Waltz to be exact) on both Supporting and Lead categories (in second tier position) as well.

I fear that my three most anticipated films of the year (Carol, Macbeth and The Water Diviner) are going to be released come 2015, so I'm not currently predicting them for anything, but that will change if word comes that they will make it to this year after all.

So, let's get 'er done!


PICTURE:
1.       Unbroken
2.       Foxcatcher
3.       Interstellar
4.       Big Eyes
5.       Birdman
6.       Into the Woods
7.       Gone Girl
8.       Inherent Vice
9.       The Homesman
10.   A Most Violent Year

On the outside looking in:

11.   The Imitation Game
12.   Trash
13.   Wild
14.   The Search
15.   The Grand Budapest Hotel

DIRECTOR:
1.       Anjelina Jolie / Unbroken
2.       Bennett Miller / Foxcatcher
3.       Christopher Nolan / Interstellar
4.       Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu / Birdman
5.       Tim Burton / Big Eyes

On the outside looking in:

6.       David Fincher / Gone Girl
7.       Paul Thomas Anderson / Inherent Vice
8.       Tommy Lee Jones / The Homesman
9.       J.C. Chandor / A Most Violent Year
10.   Stephen Daldry / Trash

FILM EDITING:
1.       Interstellar
2.       Foxcatcher
3.       Unbroken
4.       Gone Girl
5.       Into the Woods

On the outside looking in:

6.       Inherent Vice
7.       Fury
8.       Wild
9.       A Most Violent Year
10.   Birdman

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
1.       Unbroken
2.       Foxcatcher
3.       The Homesman
4.       Wild
5.       The Imitation Game

On the outside looking in:

1.       Gone Girl
2.       Inherent Vice
3.       Trash
4.       The Search
5.       Into the Woods

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
1.       Birdman
2.       A Most Violent Year
3.       Big Eyes
4.       Boyhood
5.       Interstellar

On the outside looking in:

6.       The Grand Budapest Hotel
7.       St. Vincent De Van Nuys
8.       While We’re Young
9.       Magic in the Moonlight
10.   Mr. Turner

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
1.       Emma Stone / Birdman
2.       Emily Blunt / Into the Woods
3.       Viola Davis / Get on Up
4.       Kristen Scott Thomas / Suite française
5.       Anna Kendrick / Into the Woods

On the outside looking in:

6.       Jessica Chastain / A Most Violent Year
7.       Annette Bening / The Search
8.       Naomi Watts / St. Vincent De Van Nuys
9.       Patricia Arquette / Boyhood
10.   Katherine Waterston / Inherent Vice

SUPPORTING ACTOR:
1.       Edward Norton / Birdman
2.       Channing Tatum / Foxcatcher
3.       Miyavi / Unbroken
4.       Martin Sheen / Trash
5.       J.K. Simmons / Whiplash

On the outside looking in:

6.       Christoph Waltz / Big Eyes
7.       Josh Brolin / Inherent Vice
8.       Mark Ruffalo / Foxcatcher
9.       Robert Duvall / The Judge
10.   Michael Sheen / Far From the Madding Crowd

LEAD ACTOR:
1.       Steve Carell / Foxcatcher
2.       Michael Keaton / Birdman
3.       Jack O’Connell / Unbroken
4.       Ben Affleck / Gone Girl
5.       Benedict Cumberbatch / The Imitation Game

On the outside looking in:

6.       Joaquin Phoenix / Inherent Vice
7.       Oscar Isaac / A Most Violent Year
8.       Christoph Waltz / Big Eyes
9.       Timothy Spall / Mr. Turner
10.   Bill Murray / St. Vincent De Van Nuys

LEAD ACTRESS:
1.       Michelle Williams / Suite française
2.       Rosamund Pike / Gone Girl
3.       Amy Adams / Big Eyes
4.       Reese Witherspoon / Wild
5.       Hilary Swank / The Homesman

On the outside looking in:

6.       Carey Mulligan / Suffragette
7.       Jessica Chastain / A Most Violent Year
8.       Kate Winslet / A Little Chaos
9.       Melissa McCarthy / St. Vincent De Van Nuys
10.   Meryl Streep / Into the Woods

COSTUME DESIGN:
1.       Into the Woods
2.       Far From the Madding Crowd
3.       Exodus: Gods and Kings
4.       Inherent Vice
5.       Unbroken

On the outside looking in:

6.       Big Eyes
7.       Suite française
8.       Grace of Monaco
9.       A Most Violent Year
10.   Jersey Boys

CINEMATOGRAPHY:
1.       Unbroken
2.       Interstellar
3.       Far From the Madding Crowd
4.       Gone Girl
5.       Big Eyes

On the outside looking in:

6.       Birdman
7.       Foxcatcher
8.       The Homesman
9.       Into the Woods
10.   Inherent Vice

ART DIRECTION/PRODUCTION DESIGN:
1.       Into the Woods
2.       Far From the Madding Crowd
3.       Exodus: Gods and Kings
4.       Inherent Vice
5.       Interstellar

On the outside looking in:

6.       Big Eyes
7.       Suite française
8.       Trash
9.       The Hobbit: There and Back Again
10.   The Grand Budapest Hotel

VISUAL EFFECTS:
1.       Interstellar
2.       The Hobbit: There and Back Again
3.       Godzilla
4.       Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
5.       Guardians of the Galaxy

On the outside looking in:

6.       Noah
7.       Transformers: Age of Extinction
8.       X-Men: Days of Future Past
9.       The Amazing Spider Man 2
10.   Exodus: Gods and Kings

MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING:
1.       Into the Woods
2.       The Hobbit: There and Back Again
3.       Foxcatcher

On the outside looking in:

4.       Inherent Vice
5.       Exodus: Gods and Kings
6.       Malificent

SOUND EDITING:
1.       Interstellar
2.       Fury
3.       The Hobbit: There and Back Again
4.       Wild
5.       Unbroken

On the outside looking in:

6.       Godzilla
7.       Black Sea
8.       Transformers: Age of Extinction
9.       The Homesman
10.   Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

SOUND MIXING:
1.       Interstellar
2.       Into the Woods
3.       Fury
4.       Godzilla
5.       The Hobbit: There and Back Again

On the outside looking in:

6.       How to Train Your Dragon 2
7.       Unbroken
8.       Transformers: Age of Extinction
9.       Guardians of the Galaxy
10.   The Boxtrolls

ORIGINAL SCORE:
1.       Unbroken (Desplat)
2.       Interstellar (Zimmer)
3.       Big Eyes (Elfman)
4.       The Homesman (Beltrami)
5.       Foxcatcher (Danna)

On the outside looking in:

6.       Gone Girl (Reznor/Ross)
7.       Birdman (Powell)
8.       The Imitation Game (Mansell)
9.       The Hobbit: There and Back Again (Shore)
10.   Inherent Vice (Greenwood)

ORIGINAL SONG:
1.       Into the Woods
2.       Begin Again
3.       The LEGO Movie
4.       Muppets Most Wanted
5.       Unbroken

On the outside looking in:

6.       The Boxtrolls
7.       How to Train Your Dragon 2
8.       Frank
9.       Get on Up
10.   Big Eyes

ANIMATED FILM:
1.       The LEGO Movie
2.       The Boxtrolls
3.       How to Train Your Dragon 2
4.       When Marnie Was There
5.       The Book of Life

On the outside looking in:

6.       Rio 2
7.       Big Hero 6
8.       Home
9.       Pinocchio
10.   Canine Team

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
1.       Brazil
2.       China
3.       Belgium
4.       Turkey
5.       Spain

On the outside looking in:

6.       France
7.       Italy
8.       Canada
9.       Germany
10.   Iran

8 comments:

  1. The one person I hope to get a long-overdue Oscar nod is....THE BEST IN THE WORLD!!!! Jena Malone for Best Supporting Actress for Inherent Vice.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm not very familiar with the roles, so I don't know how baity she is. Apparently, Waterston has the baitiest supporting female role, which is why I have her listed in the Top Ten...but you never know how the cards will fall.

      Delete
  2. Man, I am so pumped for so many movies this fall. I think Unbroken is going to make a huge Oscar showing as well. But Foxcatcher, Interstellar, Inherent Vice, Gone Girl – so exciting.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Looks like it's going to be a great year at the movies!

      Delete
  3. Is this the year of Alexandre Desplat?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I really hope so. If Unbroken can bring Oscars home for Deakins and Desplat then I think it'll become one of the most beloved Oscar films of all time.

      Delete
  4. Glad you also do monthly updates man. I'll do mine soon.

    I wonder what to make of The Homesman, A Most Violent Year and The Imitation Game. I could see all three missing or getting major nominations.

    ReplyDelete
  5. I'm really intrigued where this race will go buddy! Can't wait to see your updated predictions.

    ReplyDelete