Friday, December 27, 2013

My Official December Oscar Predictions


Finally, I've compiled my predictions based on awards traction over the month and blind faith in passion votes.  Yes, some of these may seem a bit on the 'wild card' side, but word of mouth is something to factor in as well, and so someone like Scarlett Johansson (who is probably being talked about more than any other contender in her category) or Adele Exarchopoulos (who could benefit from serious passion votes) are not as crazy as they may seem. 

I've also gone ahead and predicted the shorts since we have a narrowed list and I've actually seen a few. 

Until next month, see below:


Picture:
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
The Wolf of Wall Street

Threats:  Dallas Buyers Club, Fruitvale Station

Director:
Cuaron
Greengrass
Jonze
McQueen
Russell

Threats:  Coens, Scorsese

Lead Actor:
Dern
DiCaprio
Ejiofor
Hanks
McConaughey

Threats:  Redford, Whitaker

Lead Actress:
Adams
Blanchett
Bullock
Dench
Exarchopoulos

Threats:  Streep, Thompson

Supporting Actor:
Abdi
Cooper
Fassbender
Gandolfini
Leto

Threats:  Bruhl, Hill

Supporting Actress:
Johansson
Lawrence
Nyong’o
Roberts
Squibb

Threats:  Hawkins, Winfrey

Adapted Screenplay:
12 Years a Slave
Before Midnight
Captain Phillips
Philomena
The Wolf of Wall Street

Threats:  Blue is the Warmest Color, Lee Daniels’ The Butler

Original Screenplay:
American Hustle
Blue Jasmine
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska

Threats:  Enough Said, Fruitvale Station

Film Editing:
12 Years a Slave
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Rush
The Wolf of Wall Street

Threats:  American Hustle, Fruitvale Station

Art Direction/Production Design:
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
The Great Gatsby
Her
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug

Threats:  Gravity, Saving Mr. Banks

Cinematography:
12 Years a Slave
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis

Threats:  The Great Gatsby, Prisoners

Costume Design:
12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
The Great Gatsby
Oz: The Great and Powerful
Saving Mr. Banks

Threats:  The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug, Lee Daniels’ The Butler

Makeup & Hairstyling:
American Hustle
Bad Grandpa
Dallas Buyers Club

Threats:  The Great Gatsby, The Lone Ranger

Visual Effects:
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
Pacific Rim
World War Z

Threats:  Star Trek into Darkness, Thor: The Dark World

Sound Editing:
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Iron Man 3
Rush
World War Z

Threats:  All is Lost, Pacific Rim

Sound Mixing:
12 Years a Slave
Captain Phillips
Frozen
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis

Threats:  All is Lost, The Great Gatsby

Original Score:
12 Years a Slave
The Book Thief
Gravity
Philomena
Saving Mr. Banks

Threats:  Captain Phillips, Her

Original Song:
Amen
Let it Go
The Moon Song
So You Know What It’s Like
Young and Beautiful

Threats:  Ordinary Love, You and I Ain’t Nothin’ No More

Documentary Feature:
20 Feet From Stardom
The Act of Killing
Blackfish
The Square
Stories We Tell

Threats:  Cutie and the Boxer, Dirty War

Animated Feature:
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
Frozen
Monsters University
The Wind Rises

Threats:  The Croods, A Letter to Momo

Foreign Film:
The Broken Circle Breakdown
The Missing Picture
The Hunt
The Grandmaster
The Great Beauty

Threats:  Omar, Two Lives

Documentary Short:
Cavedigger
Facing Fear
The Lady in Number 6
Prison Terminal
Recollections

Threats:  Jujitsuing Reality, Karma Has No Walls

Live Action Short:
Kush
Record/Play
That Wasn’t Me
Throat Song
The Voorman Problem

Threats:  Helium, Tiger Boy

Threats: 

Animated Short:
Feral
Get a Horse!
Gloria Victoria
Hollow Land
Mr. Hublot

Threats:  The Missing Scarf, Requiem for Romance


10 comments:

  1. After seeing American Hustle today, I want Amy Adams to get an Oscar nomination SO BADLY!

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    Replies
    1. I haven't seen it, but I rather like Amy Adams, so I'm all for it!

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  2. DiCaprio and Exarchopoulos would AMAZING nominations, but I don't see them getting in if they miss with BAFTA. I think Bruhl is virtually locked (especially if he gets a BAFTA nod), unless someone like Cooper or Hill takes his spot at the last minute.

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    Replies
    1. While Bruhl is hitting everything right now, he's also in a film no one really cares about, and with Cooper and Hill in films everyone IS talking about, I think he'll falter for one of them.

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    2. True, but BAFTA might nominate the film for more awards. The British vote could come through for him at the Oscars. Still, Cooper and Hill could BOTH get in at the end of the day.

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    3. I think the nature of Hill's film and the controversial responses so far are going to work against him, especially since his reviews aren't the raves DiCaprio is getting. Cooper is more well liked in the industry and is in a film that is playing better to more crowds. I actually think the last spot is between Cooper and Bruhl.

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  3. Wow, no Streep or Thompson! Bold predictions.

    Btw, don't forget to fill this out: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/12vwzSOVBEXA1KB_WxUBFtXtEPuEn-DWngDYIdHXKC78/viewform

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. When is it due? I usually like to wait until BAFTA announces before confirming my final predictions.

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    2. I don't need your predictions yet. I just want people to fill out that form first so I make sure I have everyone in the scoring spreadsheet.

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