This category is getting a complete overall from me. The bounty of contenders here is rather ridiculous, and they keep growing and coming back and whatnot, so I can see so many differing scenarios that it becomes increasingly hard to put my finger on who is going to nab what. There have been some new developments, most notably trailers for ‘Saving Mr. Banks’ and resurfaced ink on some other contenders, not to mention that glossy trailer for ‘12 Years a Slave’, which made Fassbender a legit contender.
And what of James Gandolfini? I want to predict him so badly based on the glorious trailer for ‘Enough Said’, and the sentimental edge could play in his favor, but I’m not betting on it right now.
We’ll see what happens at the Globes.
For now, this is what I’m thinking:
1. Tom Hanks/Saving Mr. Banks
He’s playing Walt fucking Disney, and he charms the hell out of that trailer. Couple that with the fact that he’s having a banner year and is really a Hollywood icon at the top of his game (allegedly) I have a feeling that this could be a very easy nomination for him.
2. Jonah Hill/The Wolf of Wall Street
He’s making good on that Oscar nomination by not only continuing to be relevant and funny but stretching himself and working with big directors. You don’t get much bigger than Martin Scorsese. He also steals every second of the trailer, so I see this being one to watch out for. Heck, he could even win!
3. Jeremy Renner/American Hustle
I gave up a little on this film a while back, but the trailer revived my faith in it. Renner has the flashy supporting role (Cooper is co-lead) and AMPAS has already proven to like him (he’s twice nominated now) so if he delivers the goods he should be an easy nominee here.
4. Tim Roth/Grace of Monaco
Early ink was VERY good for him, and he’s a previous nominee who is deserving of comeback (his 90’s run was so great). He’s playing a famous figure in a film produced by Weinstein and standing alongside the luxurious Nicole Kidman. I’ve been getting ‘My Week With Marilyn’ vibes from this all year.
5. Jared Leto/Dallas Buyers Club
He’s not often seen as a great actor, but the transformation he underwent for this film is undeniable and early word is that he’s VERY good here (surprisingly good) and the surprise factor can play in here (look at Hill in 2011). Add to that the pure bait here (a transgender who dies of AIDS) and you have a HUGE chance of recognition.