Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Just me against the elements: My May Lead Actor Predictions...

Daniel Day-Lewis doesn't have a film out this year, right?

With new ink surfacing straight out of Cannes regarding a certain Lead Actor contender we didn’t see coming, I’ve decided to rework my lineup.  Personally, Lead Actor seems to be the category that feels ‘solid’ every year at this time.  That can mean one of two things; either we’re in for a really boring year or we’re in for some real shocks come Awards Season.  I remember 2011 being confident in Craig/DiCaprio/Fassbender/Gosling/Oldman and nearly every prognosticator on the internet had DiCaprio/Fassbender/Gosling/Oldman in their predictions all year long and yet we only got a ‘surprise’ nomination for Oldman in the end.  Last year early predictions were all about Day-Lewis/Hawkes/Jackman/Murray/Phoenix and, in retrospect, this was really smart.  In fact, Murray fell away mid-year to be replaced by Washington and it all made sense.  Cooper came out of nowhere and Hawkes was snubbed, but he was close.

So, this year it almost seems like the same names keep being mentioned.  The four names that keep getting predicted are Carell/DiCaprio/Jordon/McConaughey with Dern and Bale filtered in and out of the lineup.  Could this be another 2011, where only one of these contenders actually gets nominated, or are we looking at another 2012 where pretty much this entire lineup gets recognized?

So, here are my current thoughts.



















































So, as way of a recap:

May Predictions:
Carell/Foxcatcher
DiCaprio/The Wolf of Wall Street
Jordan/Fruitvale Station
McConaughey/Dallas Buyers Club
Redford/All is Lost

April Predictions:
Carell/Foxcatcher
Dern/Nebraska
DiCaprio/The Wolf of Wall Street
Jordan/Fruitvale Station
McConaughey/Dallas Buyers Club

2 comments:

  1. Nice picks man. My updated top 5 is exactly the same. I'm wondering if Tom Hanks could be nominated like Denzel Washington was last year. Captain Phillips looks like it could go the route Flight did in the awards season.

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    1. I could see that! The trailer looked really good, but thrillers are difficult to predict because they could wind up being regarded as nothing more than a good popcorn movie. I'll need reviews before I think it could get anything special.

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