Wednesday, May 29, 2013

Debut films and foreign auteurs (My May Director Oscar Predictions)

"Thank you God for snubbing Ben Affleck."
2012 was a weird year in this category.  I think we all know that.  I mean, the Oscar for Director was so up in the air because the year long lock was snubbed the nomination.  Ben Affleck won EVERY OTHER TELEVISED AWARD in this category, including the BAFTA, and then went on to have his film win the SAG.  His film even won the Oscar for Best Picture.  But, alas, he was snubbed the nomination in favor of Michael Haneke and Behn Zeitlin.  Now, I'm not saying that is a bad thing (since Zeitlin was leagues better than Affleck...and Lee for that matter) but it is odd and makes you wonder about what could happen this year.  Could Zeitlin's shock nomination (I knew it was going to happen but foolishly dropped him from my predictions) give confidence to other debut directors, like Coogler?  Could Haneke's surprise nomination mean that this years big Cannes story could result in a nomination for Kechiche?

Here's what I'm thinking now:
















































So, in recap:

May Predictions:
Clooney/The Monuments Men
Coogler/Fruitvale Station
Cuaron/Gravity
O. Russell/American Hustle
Scott/The Counselor

April Predictions:
Coogler/Fruitvale Station
Cuaron/Gravity
Howard/Rush
O. Russell/American Hustle
Scott/The Counselor 

4 comments:

  1. Great post man. Coogler is the only one in your lineup that I'm holding out on at the moment. Since he will likely get nominated in the writing category, I'm not convinced he'll make the cut in Best Director. Of course, the category could end up like last year's, with a surprise or two in the mix.

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    1. I get such a Zeitlin feeling from Coogler...I'm just not letting go of that one this time! LOL, watch me be wrong and he gets the snub.

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    2. Ha, never trust the Academy. Zeitlin's nod could be a fluke instead of a trend, but I hope he's the latter.

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    3. I know what you mean! But they were finally SOOOOO right!!!!

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