Friday, April 19, 2013

Oscar Predictions: April Edition (Part 5)


It is the final day of our special Oscar predictions week!  I hope that you guys have enjoyed Josh and my dual postings.  It’s been great collaborating with Josh.  I hope to do it again!  For the last day we’re looking at two categories that are pretty hard to put a finger on this far in advance.  No, we’re not going to bother with documentaries or short films.  I’m talking about Foreign Film and Animated Feature.

As with the last few says, I’ll be posting Josh’s summarized predictions and thoughts, but please visit his blog for more of his thoughts.


Throw a dart at the map and write the country down!

Foreign Film:
Let’s be honest; predicting this category in April is rather ridiculous, but it’s fun to try and get as many predicted as possible so I’ve decided to randomly choose (or maybe not so randomly) countries I think will factor into the race.  So what I did was look back over the last ten years at the countries nominated in this category.  The most nominated country is Germany (with six mentions), followed by Canada (with five).  After that we have Austria, South Africa, France, Sweden, Denmark, Algeria, Mexico, Israel, Japan, Netherlands and Poland with multiple mentions.  The rest have only one nomination in ten years (which is shocking considering the films that have come out of Spain, Greece and Italy, but a lot of them have hit the long lists).  I think that France, Germany and Canada are good bets considering their track records.  After that, I’m hedging bets for Japan.  I have a feeling that we’ll see someone new this year, but I can’t put a finger on who. 

My Picks:

Argentina
Canada
France
Germany
Japan

Josh’s Picks:

Camille Claudel, 1915 (France)
The Grandmaster (Hong Kong)
Hannah Arendt (Germany)
The Past (Argentina)
Unforgiven (Japan)

Josh actually found some titles to predict (although we don’t know at this point if they will even be the official entries for their countries).  We are both going with France, Germany, Argentina and Japan, but I’m leaning towards Canada and Josh has Hong Kong in his predictions.  Josh also found possibilities from Spain and Lithuania.  Truth be told, these are complete shots in the dark at this point, so who knows.

Can anything prevent Monsters University from Oscar gold?

Animated Film:
All I know is that Monsters University is winning.  Like, can we just etch the name on the statuette and hand it off already.  Pixar’s hold on this category is kind of gross, and last year’s Brave win was just the icing on this ridiculously boring cake.  I don’t hate Brave, but Wreck-It Ralph was SO MUCH BETTER.  Still, I can’t begrudge Pixar for the wonderful offerings they have provided, and Monsters University looks wonderful, so yay.  After that though, I’m not so sure.  I think Epic will happen.  It looks like the type of film that performs well here.  I’m not so sure of the foreign offerings in this category as of yet, and I’ve seen The Croods (that ain’t happening) and have no faith in Turbo.

For April, I’m predicting five (for the sake of getting more right), but we’ll see what happens.

My Picks:

Despicable Me 2
Epic
Frozen
Monsters University
Planes

Josh’s Picks:

Epic
Frozen
Monsters University
Planes
Turbo

Monsters University. That is all. The rest will be rewarded with a nomination.  Josh and I seem to see eye to eye on that, and I’m sure most of the betting world feels the same way.  Josh has Turbo listed, while I’m betting on Despicable Me 2 (the original was inches from an Oscar nomination and actually did really well with critics and precursors).  But really, there is bound to be some foreign animated feature we don’t know about that is going to rush the scene and snag a filler nomination.

So that is all!  We have finished.  You can see my updated predictions on the side bar and if you click on the category headings they will take you to the corresponding posts.  Thank you for following along as Josh and I discussed the year ahead.  I hope you’ve enjoyed it.  Feel free to continue to comment and discuss; I welcome it with open arms!

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