Monday, June 27, 2011

Updated Supporting Actress Predictions (Oscar 2011)

My June predictions are as follows:

1)      Zoe Caldwell/Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
WHY?:
The role is extremely baity and the film is set to be a big player come Oscar time.  I think that it will garner at least one acting nomination, and this seems like the best bet.  She’s a veteran actress in a role tailor made for Oscar gold.  In fact, I’m going out on an early limb and saying that she nabs the gold this year.

2)      Vanessa Redgrave/Coriolanus
WHY?:
When you factor in the fact that she is Vanessa Redgrave (Hollywood royalty), the incredibly painful losses she’s endured and the fact that she has already racked up some decent praise for the performance it seems like a sure thing.  Nothing is for certain yet, but I wouldn’t be surprised if this year’s Supporting Actress race bailed down to two vets duking it out for Oscar gold.

3)      Kate Winslet/Carnage
WHY?:
While she just won, she’s also Kate Winslet, and even when she’s subpar she’s still great and winds up getting nominated.  I think that Carnage will be a nice showcase for her talents, and with a seemingly wide open category (I can’t seem to get a handle on this one at all) she seems like a pretty sure bet.  Think Cate Blanchett in Notes on a Scandal sized category fraud, but then again, sometimes that helps.

4)      Viola Davis/The Help
WHY?:
I can’t really get an Oscar feel from this film, but the light airiness of the trailer is cut beautifully by the well rounded feel of Davis, so I’m thinking that the film becomes this year’s Blind Side and nets Davis her second nomination.  She is a great character actress who has been delivering well rounded work for years, so her recent recognition (in 08) should lead way for her to become welcomed back to the nominees circle.  If the film winds up a bigger hit than I intend, she could be a dark horse for the win…but I can’t see that happening unless the film is a big player.

5)      Carey Mulligan/Shame
WHY?:
This is my wild card prediction, and it truly is.  Mulligan is a GREAT actress who was dubbed the next big thing two years ago, and Oscar may be wanting to welcome her back.  The film she’s in seems pretty un-Oscary, but her role seems rather baity and it could potentially be a scene stealer, and if that happens then Oscar may want to single her out for a nomination.  They want to prove their ‘find’ wasn’t accidental (it isn’t, believe me), and the Fassbender goodwill (what a year he’s going to be having) may play in her favor as well.

~

6)      Jessica Chastain/The Tree of Life
7)      Naomi Watts/J. Edgar
8)      Judi Dench/My Week With Marilyn
9)      Scarlett Johansson/We Bought a Zoo
10)  Stephanie Szotak/We Bought a Zoo

I was really sure about Jessica Chastain this year, considering the buzz around The Tree of Life and the stills of her were just so splendid, but her year is almost too big (she’s in everything) and maybe her performances will become muddled…and early word on The Tree of Life didn’t single her out like I expected them to.  I want to have faith in a Naomi Watts nomination, mainly because I love her and she is amazing, but she’s been snubbed so many times before, and early word on the script really made this sound like the DiCaprio/Hammer show. 

And what to make of We Bought a Zoo?  I’ve heard NOTHING about this movie, and yet both supporting roles seem pretty baity.  Could they both get in?  Lord knows that Scarlett Johansson is due for a nomination.

And I know that everyone and their mother thinks that The Help is landing the double nod and that it’ll be Octavia Spencer who lands the most votes, but the trailer made her look so one-dimensional.  All I got was ‘token black comedic performance’.  That is all it read.  No depth.

Who knows.

OTHER UPDATED PREDICTIONS:
Best Picture
Best Director
Lead Actor
Lead Actress
Supporting Actor

Updated Supporting Actor Predictions (Oscar 2011)


My Jude prections are as follows:

1)      Kenneth Branagh/My Week With Marilyn
WHY?:
Early word is that he steals the show, and we all know that Branagh’s breed of actor really thrives in performances like the one he has in this film.  He’s also a former nominee who hasn’t been in the game for two decades so he could easily get a nice fat WELCOME BACK nomination.  At the moment he seems like the safest bet for a nomination, and possibly even a win if it is as scene stealing as it’s being touted as.

2)      Christopher Plummer/Beginners
WHY?:
He’s Christopher Plummer and he’s finally being Oscar realized and we all know that the afterglow effect is a good thing.  That, and the film has already been released and he’s already received glowing reviews and it is a role he hasn’t even come close to before.  It’s showy and supposedly a major stretch, and for an actor of his caliber at his age to attempt ‘growth’ is a major bonus point.  From those who have seen the film, most likely he won’t win, but a nomination seems pretty good at this point.

3)      Viggo Mortensen/A Dangerous Method
WHY?:
He works very well with Cronenberg, and he looks outstanding in the trailer (the trailer itself was such a letdown, but he really shown for me).  I’m thinking that if he remains in the lesser category he could easily land his second nomination with a role that is unlike any other he’s had. 

4)      Armie Hammer/J. Edgar
WHY?:
He received a lot of good ink for her two-part performance in last years The Social Network, and this year he’s working with Eastwood in a prestige period biopic where he plays Leonardo DiCaprio’s gay lover.  Early word on the script is that this role is BAITY to the max and some have even said that if this were a female part he’d be a shoe in for the Oscar, so I think that a nomination seems like a decent chance for him at this point.

5)      Christoph Waltz/Carnage
WHY?:
I can’t see Carnage walking away without a single acting nomination since it seems so much like an actors film, and Waltz is a fresh faced winner who many will still remember fondly from his brilliant performance in Inglorious Basterds.  My bet is that if he chews up the scenery like we all know he can, he’s going to walk away with a nomination.  Most likely it’ll be serious category fraud, but then again, isn’t that even a bigger plus for him.

~

6)      Nicolas Bro/War Horse
7)      Philip Seymour Hoffman/The Ides of March
8)      John Hawkes/Martha Marcy May Marlene
9)      Jim Broadbent/The Iron Lady
10)  Tom Hardy/Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

My only real change from April’s predictions is that I swapped out Bro for Hammer.  I haven’t heard much more about War Horse, and my Bro prediction came from VERY early word that Bro had one of the baitier supporting roles; but how baity, and will that bait be enough to propel a relative unknown over bigger names in the cast?  Hoffman is said to have a really great role in The Ides of March, and I feel really stupid for not predicting him, but he already has three nominations and a win and he’s such a hammy actor that I just can’t see him getting nominated every two years.  I mean, I like him and all but isn’t that a bit overkill?

So many are saying that John Hawkes is in, but his role seems so similar (in tone and portrayal) as his Oscar nominated role last year…it just screams redux to me (backwoods creep who plays the guitar).

I’m grasping at straws here…

OTHER UPDATED PREDICTIONS:
Best Picture
Best Director
Lead Actor
Lead Actress
Supporting Actress

Updated Lead Actress Predictions (Oscar 2011)

My June predictions are as follows:

1)      Rooney Mara/The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
WHY?:
My expectations may be clouded by my adoration for David Fincher, but this looks primed and ready to rip the Oscar’s apart, and this role is ELECTRIFYING to say the least.  If Mara can take what Rapace did (which was pretty great) and turn it on its head with a more direct and intense direction, I can see her actually winning the damn thing.

2)      Meryl Streep/The Iron Lady
WHY?:
She’s Meryl Streep.  She’s nominated for nearly everything she does.  Oh, and she’s playing a real person in a film that is obviously going to be pimped to no end by Harvey Weinstein.  I think she’s a pretty safe bet.  Everyone is screaming “victory” but I’m not so sure.  She’s going to have some pretty young things with BAITY roles barking at her front door, and recent history has proven that the pretty young thing usually gets the gold.

3)      Elizabeth Olsen/Martha Marcy May Marlene
WHY?:
Critics have seen it and have eaten it up.  She’s this year’s Jennifer Lawrence for sure.  She probably should be higher on the list since her nomination is pretty much written in the stars…I mean, she’s kind of Hollywood royalty, right?  Anyways, I see her nabbing a good number of critics’ awards, and if her film sneaks into the Best Picture ballot, I could see her being a dark horse for the win (or maybe a front and center frontrunner).

4)      Glenn Close/Albert Nobbs
WHY?:
She needs an Oscar.  This is a baity role and she is already being heavily talked about as a serious contender; but the distribution issues leave me wondering if this will even happen.  Maybe it’ll be an HBO film (as some have insinuated) but for now I’m leaving her it.  My hopes of her actually winning have diminished almost entirely though.

5)      Kirsten Dunst/Melancholia
WHY?:
You can call me crazy, and many will, but I kind of think this could really happen.  She is a very talented young and beautiful actress who has been serving up steady work for years, and last year she got quite a few remarks for her stunning work in All Good Things.  This is a arthouse film that is far and away removed from her previous efforts directed by a controversial filmmaker who just caused a major stir at Cannes where SHE WON TO ACTRESS AWARD…I mean, come awards season her name will come up and people will talk and she may wind up being a major player.

~

6)      Michelle Williams/My Week With Marilyn
7)      Jodie Foster/Carnage
8)      Tilda Swinton/We Need to Talk About Kevin
9)      Felicity Jones/Like Crazy
10)  Keira Knightley/A Dangerous Method

I at one time really thought that Michelle Williams was going to win this thing.  At this point, I don’t think she stands much of a chance at a nomination (early word is that she is severely miscast).  That said, I still have her relatively high beings that no word is official until the film is released, and she does have Weinstein and she is respected and immensely talented.  She won’t win this year (unless early word was entirely wrong) but mediocre performances have been nominated for the Oscar before, so you never know.

Foster could have a great year if Carnage is as good as I want it to be.  It is a film that is going to rest almost entirely on her shoulders and her role is said to be baity, and shes been away from the game for a LONG time, so if sparks fly she may easily make it in, especially if Close’s film is shafted for television and they want to nominate a more seasoned actress alongside a slew of young talents.

Knightley looks gross in the trailer for A Dangerous Method, but that could work in her favor if she gets critics to fare on the ‘she really stretched herself’ and ‘she GOES there’ side.  I hope the performance is better than the trailer eludes, but I don’t see how it could be.

The accent…the screaming…the…yuckiness.

That’s it for now…

OTHER UPDATED PREDICTIONS:
Best Picture
Best Director
Lead Actor
Supporting Actor
Supporting Actress

Updated Lead Actor Prediction (Oscar 2011)

My June predictions are as follows:

1)      Leonardo DiCaprio/J. Edgar
WHY?:
When you factor in the majors here, it really does look like the planets aligned just right for Leo to FINALLY win what has been alluding him since ’93; the Oscar.  He’s considered incredibly overdue, he’s starring in an Eastwood biopic and the buzz surrounding this film is huge.  I don’t see him losing this at all.  That Oscar may has well have his name etched in it right now.

2)      Ryan Gosling/The Ides of March
WHY?:
The snub last year will account for something, and the fact that he is a charismatic actor starring in a political film needing charisma (and the part is said to be baity) will also carry weight.  Add to that George Clooney, who is practically worshiped now and you have a very predictable second nomination. 

3)      Gary Oldman/Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
WHY?:
He’s Gary Oldman and he hasn’t even been nominated ONCE.  I know that he may not be considered overdue by the Academy, but the fans are already making fuss about this being ‘his year’ and the baity project matched with a director I have high hopes for means that I think this COULD be the year he finally gets in, and if he does…he may even be a dark horse for the Oscar, considering his age and prestige (but really, DiCaprio isn’t losing).

4)      Michael Fassbender/A Dangerous Method
WHY?:
Michael Fassbender has been making a real splash over the past few years, showing off his glowing charismatic talent in a wide range of roles and has most certainly been accruing much needed respect among his peers.  Now he has a plum role in a prestige film.  I had him higher on the list before I saw the disappointing trailer, but we won’t know anything until the reviews come pouring in, and right now I think his chances are pretty good.

5)      Brad Pitt/Moneyball
WHY?:
Is Brad Pitt this year’s Sandra Bullock?  The film looks incredibly mediocre and it sounds (on paper) to be a total borefest, but he’s Brad Pitt and the writer/director team behind this movie is totally Oscary, so maybe I’ll be wowed.  Besides, Brad is going to be having a great year with lots of media attention thanks to his film releases and, well, his life…so I think he could get in regardless of how bland the film may actually be.

~

6)      Daniel Craig/The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
7)      George Clooney/The Descendants
8)      Jean DuJardin/The Artist
9)      Sam Riley/On the Road
10)  Peter Mullan/Tyrannosaur

I really don’t know what to think right now.  I mean, some things are just too predictable to actually happen, and the fact that this early out nearly every Oscar predictor has a DiCaprio/Golsing/Fassbender/Oldman lineup means that something is not going to happen, so I could be so off here. 

But it just feels so right.

I know that George Clooney is nearly everyone’s cup of tea, but The Descendants looks so effing bland.  I can’t fathom it being a huge player, and yet it probably is going to be, so look for Clooney to get nominated yet again for doing the same thing he did the last time he got nominated.  I still think that Craig is going to get more attention than everyone is counting on (I swear that I am the only person talking Oscar and Daniel Craig ATM).  The role is far more reserved than the one that is most likely locked up for a nomination, but it is also a very good one and if the film goes over huge I totally see Craig being swept in with the buzz. 

After that I really don’t know.

I want to say that The Artist will be a really big hit across the board, mainly because it looks like so much fun (I can’t wait to see it), but I have my doubts considering the artistic approach taken to the film (it’s silent).

But you never know…

OTHER UPDATED PREDICTIONS:
Best Picture
Best Director
Lead Actress
Supporting Actor
Supporting Actress

Thursday, June 23, 2011

Updated Best Director Prediction (Oscar 2011)

My June predictions are as follows:

1)      David Fincher/The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
WHY?:
That snub last year is still burning (and it will for a while), and that’s not just a personal thing…it’s one of those long lasting atrocities that the Academy will need to live down.  If The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo turns out to be as electrifying and as unforgettable as it is primed to be then maybe the Academy can claim this to be Fincher’s masterwork.  It certainly looks to be a director’s piece, and we all know that Fincher can work the hell out of it.

2)      Stephen Daldry/Extremely Close and Incredibly Loud
WHY?:
The Academy wants very badly to give him an Oscar.  In fact, if it weren’t for the snub last year, I’d say that Daldry had this locked up.  He’s been nominated for all three of his previous films, and this film in particular has BAIT written all over it.  If he nails the tone and pulls out memorable performances than he’ll be waiting in the wings to snatch this away from Fincher.

3)      Terrance Malick/The Tree of Life
WHY?:
He’s been out of the game for a long time (mainly because he rarely makes a film) and the buzz around this film surely points a finger back at Malick as the REASON to see this film (all of his works are primarily directorial showcases), so I have a strong feeling that he’ll be in for the running this year.  However, unless Tree of Life strikes hot and winds up being a strong contender for Best Picture, I can’t see him winning.

4)      Clint Eastwood/J. Edgar
WHY?:
Sure, he took a small hiatus with his films over the end of the last decade, but to say that Oscar didn’t appreciate them would be a lie since, well…they still garnered nominations even if he didn’t.  Oscar LOVES Clint, and this is a biopic that screams bait and will most likely win an Acting Oscar.  I don’t see him as a threat to the win (unless J. Edgar does a surprising sweep) but he’s surely in the running for a nomination.

5)      Michael Hazanavicius/The Artist
WHY?:
The buzz for The Artist is steadily growing, and while it may seem foolish to predict a ‘lone director’ nominee in a year of ten Best Picture nominees, the new rule allows for this to be more logical, and the Director’s body is a different voting animal and this is said to be a director’s film so I kind of think that this is a VERY possible thing.

~

6)      Clooney/The Ides of March
7)      Spielberg/War Horse
8)      Alfredson/Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
9)      David Cronenberg/A Dangerous Method
10)  Soderbergh/Contagion

A quick look at this lineup and it feels a tad too prestige, but then again that isn’t all that uncommon in this particular race.  I feel pretty good with my top five, and even my top ten.  I had really anticipated this being Cronenberg’s big breakthrough year with the Academy, but that blasted trailer ruined a lot of my anticipation for the film and painted it in such a bad light (and yet I’m still holding onto those leading men as potential nominees).  The one to watch here may be Tomas Alfredson.  I have him (and his film) a little low for now, but I have a good feeling about this film.  He’s already proven himself a proficient director, and this film is far more up the Academy’s ally than his previous effort.

I still don’t know what to make of Contagion.  The premise is interesting and the cast is outstanding and Soderbergh is, well…Soderbergh.

I once thought that JJ Abrams stood a chance, and then I saw the film.  I was always skeptical.  He’s no Spielberg…he’s not even a Christopher Nolan, and Nolan couldn’t even get a nomination in a year when he was almost guaranteed one (TWICE!) so I was always on the fence, and now I’m completely over it on the side that says he’s not coming close to one, even if the film actually makes the ending Best Picture ballot.  Super 8 is no ET, even if it calls it to mind occasionally.

God, how I wish the second half had been as AMAZING as the first.

That’s it for now…I’ll get into the acting categories next week.

OTHER UPDATED PREDICTIONS:
Best Picture
Lead Actor
Lead Actress
Supporting Actor
Supporting Actress

Updated Best Picture Prediction (Oscar 2011)

I'm taking this in categories this month, so that I don't burn out trying to compile everything at once.  Today we're going with Best Picture.

And my June predictions are as follows:

1)      The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
   WHY?:
It may not seem like a conventional pick (a violent film filled with sex and gore) but            Fincher’s diabolical loss last year should light a fire under voters to right that massive wrong, and the source material here (in both written and cinematic form) have been gushed over by many.  Fincher is said to take this to another level (we all know that he can ‘go there’) and it’s been a long time since a truly gritty film won big at Oscars.  I go back and forth between my #1 and #2 this year, but with the release of that teaser trailer (delicious) and that pitch perfect tagline, I think this will be the one to watch out for this year.

2)      Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
         WHY?:
It may seem like far too much of a sentimental reason, but 9/11 has a somber birthday this year and if the release is timed right it could make a huge dent because of that.  Also, Stephen Daldry has yet to miss with Oscar, and this source material is baity as hell (the book is brilliant).  With a slew of big names on board, I really think this could be the one to beat this year.

3)      The Ides of March
   WHY?:
Clooney + Politics + Gosling snub last year + Buzz + Undeniably bait = Oscar nominations…

4)      J. Edgar
   WHY?:
This is Clint Eastwood, and this is a biopic, and this is DiCaprio (who is poised to win Lead Actor this year) and this is a seriously baity project that is going to cross taboo lines with a predictably Eastwood touch that will certainly make those things more Academy friendly (since we all know that Eastwood always thinks of the Academy first) so I really can’t see how this one doesn’t make the final list.

5)      The Tree of Life
   WHY?:
First peeks look stunning (as do all of Malick’s works) and the early buzz is that it is, well, buzz worthy.  I see this making a serious dent, and the star power behind it coupled with the rarity that we get to see Malick in action may warrant a ‘we missed you’ style reception considering that 1998 was the last time one of his films was in serious contention for anything.  Besides, Brad Pitt will be having one of those years that just warrants Academy attention.

6)      War Horse
   WHY?:
I have less faith in this film than many others who consider it a lock for #1 placement.  It is Spielberg, I get that, and it is certainly going to be pretty, but early word I heard on the stage play was that it was oddly vacant and someone void of anything ‘real’.  My guess is that it makes it in on the showiness of the film and the prestige of the director, but I can’t see it being in the top five, especially when those other films seem to have so much more going for them.  To not predict it seems foolish, but I can’t see it garnering a win anywhere (but watch the film come out and blow me away and prove me DEAD wrong).

7)      Martha Marcy May Marlene
         WHY?:
As we saw with last years ‘Winters Bone’, small independent films with strongly buzzed female leads can garner serious Oscar attention.  The talk surrounding this film (and Olsen) coming out of Sundance was huge (it already seems that Olsen is a lock in Lead Actress) so I can easily see this film making a considerable dent in three or four categories, including Best Picture. 

I mean, Cult + Showy Lead + Indie Cred = Oscar Love.

8)      The Descendants
   WHY?:
I understand that the Academy and the world in general seems to adore George Clooney far more than I do, and Alexander Payne has a knack for this style of Dramedy, so I certainly can see the awards chances looming over this oddly dull and bland looking film; but I don’t see it as the threat many consider it.  Isn’t anyone else tired of George Clooney regurgitating the same middle aged hot man dealing with being a middle aged hot man?  I just don’t get it.  BUT…the premise is VERY promising.  At least it has me wanting to read the book.

9)      Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
   WHY?:
I really loved ‘Let the Right One In’ and so did a lot of other people, and early word is that the script and the characters here are baity to the max; and I certainly think that Gary Oldman and his OVERDUE status is going to bolster attention for this film.  Right now it’s lower on the totem pole, but I certainly see it rising in the ranks as the season progresses.  I’m really excited about this one.

10)  The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn
  WHY?:
The name Spielberg means a lot, and consider the token ‘animated’ Best Picture slot may be lost by Pixar this year (are they really going to support Cars 2?) I think that this motion capture film looks prime to steal some votes.  The teaser released certainly wet my appetite, and I wasn’t even looking forward to this at first.  It sounds intriguing and it looks kind of amazing and while I don’t think it’ll make it UNLESS there are a full ten nominees this year, it certainly stands a better chance than any of the other ‘animated’ films.  The fact that it isn’t eligible in the Animated category considering that motion capture could really help as well (they can’t award it there).

~

11)  The Artist
12)  Moneyball
13)  Carnage
14)  Super 8
15)  A Dangerous Method
16)  Contagion
17)  We Bought a Zoo
18)  The Open Road
19)  Rampart
20)  Melancholia

So, I extended my predictions out to twenty this month just to cover a few more bases.  It seems like the same films are being toted around by everyone claiming to ‘foretell the future’, well…except some who dare to think outside the box.  I am not one who dares to venture that far (although many may claim that placing Melancholia in the top twenty is just plain stupid).  This new rule passed by the Academy is making predictions a tad more difficult.  I’ve decided to predict a full list of ten, although I suspect it’ll probably be more like seven or eight.  I’ve ranked them this month because of the new change, so that I can gauge my accuracy (if there are only seven then hopefully they will be the top seven on my list). 

So, what’s changed from April?

Well, for starters, I saw Super 8.  I really liked it, but I wanted to love it, and the cardboard cutout characters (adult characters) and the lazy haphazard ending really makes me iffy about its chances anywhere outside of the technicals.  I mean, in April I was pretty confident that it was going to be nominated inside the top ten and I had it ranked pretty high on that list (true Inception style) but overall, Inception is a far better and more cohesive film.  Super 8 has a great nostalgic feel and the child actors are AMAZING (Elle Fanning is just AMAZING in everything she does and an early contender for the Fisti this year) but it just falls to hell in the final act.

Still…sound, visual effects, production design even…I think it’ll be up there.

I also happened to catch the trailer for ‘A Dangerous Method’.  I am still highly confident in a Viggo Mortensen nomination in Supporting Actor and possibly a win (he looks SUPERB in the trailer) but the overall feel I get from the film is that it will be wildly uneven and in the same vein as most of Cronenberg’s work; Academy UN-friendly.  That, and Keira Knightley looks atrocious. 

I was so confident in that pick, but as of now I have it dropped into the fourteenth position, not third (like I had it in April).

Cannes is over and the buzz around The Artist continues to grow.  I feel iffy predicting it in Best Picture only because it’s a silent film and I just feel like the Academy won’t hop all over an artsy film so gallantly.  They will either love it and shower it with accolades or it’ll appear in two or three categories where the branches themselves favor outside picks (Director, Screenplay, Score).  Also, Melancholia won a big award and got lathered up in controversy with all of von Trier’s Nazi talk (such a true auteur that one is).  I don’t know…I hear all sorts of mixed things about this.  I really think that the fact that this is ‘light’ von Trier (supposedly it is his most accessible work) and Darren Aranofsky kind of opened a strange door last year with the whole Black Swan sensation, it could factor into the Oscar race, and while Best Picture may be a stretch (thus the #20 placement), I really think that it could rack up two or three nominations, including a big one for its star if people remember her big Cannes win and the fact that she’s young, hot and been working her ass off since the early 90’s.

Oh, and I have kind of zero faith in The Help outside of a nomination for Viola Davis (and maybe even a win).  I saw the trailer, and it looks way too light.  It really is going to go one of two ways; it’ll either be this year’s Blind Side or this year’s The Secret Life of Bees.  Either way the NAACP is going to eat it the hell up, but my bet is that it fairs on The Blind Side of things and garners an acting nomination.  The reason I say acting and not Best Picture and Acting is that this new rule kind of negates that Blind Side slot.  There is no way that you can convince me that The Blind Side would have been nominated in 09 had this rule been in effect.  It didn’t garner 5% of the #1 placements…we all know that film was #10.  I can’t see a film like The Help getting that many #1 placements, unless the trailer is really misleading.  Viola Davis looks sublime though (I love that woman) and she seems to understand a balance between the dramatic and the comedic.

I’m iffy on some films that so many seem to be confident in (The Descendants looks rather bland and Moneyball looks too commercial) but I understand their chances are higher than my personal opinion; especially considering the ‘names’ involved.

I still think that ‘Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close’, ‘The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo’, ‘J. Edgar’ and ‘The Ides of March’ will be this year’s BIGGEST PLAYERS and they will slaughter come nomination morning.  Maybe it’s too much bait and too obvious but I don’t see how they can miss.

Wednesday, June 22, 2011

What the hell is wrong with me?

Is blogging already becoming a burden?  I mean, I'm sitting at my computer all day (supposedly working) and I can't find the time to update my blog hardly ever.  I have so many things I've been wanting to post (I'm wrapping up my 02 Fisti's and I have been aching to write my review for Super 8 and we all know I really need to update my Oscar predictions) and yet I haven't taken the time to do any of them.  Honestly, I'm posting this little rant to pacify my anxiety over not posting anything in a while (at least not anything of importance...but then, is any of this important?).  I need to buckle down.  Saw the trailer for A Dangerous Method finally (the good one) and, well...Oscar may not be waiting in the wings (Knightley looked GOD AWFUL, but Mortensen is probably a LOCK in supporting...he looked great) and I have the same feeling after seeing Super 8 (talk about a great movie that dies a somewhat stagnant death in the final act).  Oh well...I'll kick myself in the ass later and actually DO something with this blog.  Be on the lookout...next week should be exciting (hopefully).

Thursday, June 2, 2011

Fisti Awards Update

I've been sitting on this for far too long.  I finally posted my Best Picture, Best Director and Best Film Editing awards of 2001.  I'll try tomorrow to at least get the Screenplay awards up.  I have to finish up a few things but I'm almost ready to be done with revisitng that particular year.  I'm dying to unleash 2010 on everyone and I'm not even a quarter of the way into the AUGHTS yet...UGH!!!!